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1) Putin is making progress on the battlefield in his invasion of Ukraine. 2) Ukraine is struggling with shortages of men and weapons. 3) President Trump has been supplying Ukraine with massive military aid, but he could soon halt this supply if Putin doesn't come to the negotiating table. 4) Putin likely welcomes meetings with Trump because it promotes Russia as a global force and plays well domestically. 5) Trump could pressure Russia by propping up the U.S. oil industry with subsidies and lift trade tariffs on China in exchange for limiting economic ties with Moscow.
1) Putin is making progress on the battlefield in his invasion of Ukraine. 2) Ukraine is struggling with shortages of men and weapons. 3) President Trump has been supplying Ukraine with massive military aid, but he could soon halt this supply if Putin doesn't come to the negotiating table. 4) Putin likely welcomes meetings with Trump because it promotes Russia as a global force and plays well domestically. 5) Trump could pressure Russia by propping up the U.S. oil industry with subsidies and lift trade tariffs on China in exchange for limiting economic ties with Moscow.
5 Key Insights on Trump says he wants to negotiate about Ukraine.
It's not clear if Putin really does
Nearly three years after President Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine, his troops are making steady progress on the battlefield. Kyiv is grappling with shortages of men and weapons. And the new U.S. president could soon halt Ukraine's massive supply of military aid.
Putin is closer than ever to achieving his objectives in the battle-weary country, with little incentive to come to the negotiating table, no matter how much U.S. President Donald Trump might cajole or threaten him, according to Russian and Western experts interviewed by The Associated Press.
Both are signaling discussions on Ukraine -– by phone or in person -– using flattery and threats.That means Putin is likely to welcome any meeting with Trump, since it promotes Russia as a global force and plays well domestically, but he will offer little in return.
Trump could pressure Russia by propping up the U.S. oil industry with subsidies and lift the 10% trade tariffs imposed on China in exchange for Beijing limiting economic ties with Moscow, which could leave it truly isolated, Connolly said.
Europe also could underscore its commitment to Kyiv – and curry favor with Trump – by buying U.S. military equipment to give to Ukraine, said Lord Peter Ricketts, a former U.K. national security adviser.
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